Public Interest and Market Behavior: Investigating the Impact of Google Trends on Stock Price Movements in the Automotive Sector


Koy A., Özçivi A.

Horizons of Progress: International Conference on Economics, Management, Technology, and Social Sciences, Bangkok, Tayland, 4 - 05 Ocak 2025, ss.1-5

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Yayınlanmadı
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Bangkok
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Tayland
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-5
  • İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Google is the most widely used search engine globally, providing users with easy access to information. Google Trends, a tool that has gained significant popularity in recent years, offers insights into search term volumes and their variations over time, either globally or by specific countries. This platform allows users to explore trends in search activity related to various concepts, objects, countries, or individuals, with data including search frequency changes and regional distribution.

In this study, we investigate the relationship between Google Trends search volumes and stock prices within the automotive sector. The analysis utilizes Wavelet Coherence, a powerful technique that allows for the examination of correlations between time series data across different frequencies. The application of this method enables us to assess how fluctuations in public interest, as indicated by Google search volumes, correlate with stock price movements in the automotive industry.

Investor behavior is not always entirely rational and that emotions and psychological factors can significantly influence market movements. Google Trends data may reflect shifts in public sentiment, which in turn can drive investor decisions, leading to corresponding price fluctuations in the stock market. The analysis of search volumes can provide a proxy for measuring market sentiment or investor attention, as increases in searches often coincide with heightened public interest in a company or sector. The results of this study provide valuable insights into the potential predictive power of Google Trends data for understanding market behavior and sentiment, offering implications for both investors and researchers in financial markets.