The Impact of Artficial Intelligence on International Trade: The Transformation of Global Value Chain


Baran Ş.

The 7th International Spring Conferences: AI Derivatives and Quantum Tehcnologies, İstanbul, Türkiye, 24 - 25 Mayıs 2025, (Yayınlanmadı)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Yayınlanmadı
  • Basıldığı Şehir: İstanbul
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

While artificial intelligence (AI) is seen as a transformative force in terms of productivity and innovation, its macroeconomic effects at the international level remain uncertain. In this context, this study aims to examine the effects of AI on international trade and especially the transformation of global value chains (GVCs) by focusing on economic and technological dimensions. Within the scope of the study, the potential effects of AI on trade costs, value chain structure and comparative advantage of countries are evaluated in the light of the current literature. The main findings show that AI applications have reduced costs related to trade logistics and customs procedures, thereby increasing efficiency in global trade. These developments can facilitate access to international markets for emerging economies and SMEs, expanding their opportunities to participate in global value chains. AI-enabled tools make it easier to manage complex production networks distributed on a global scale, leading to significant improvements in areas such as demand forecasting and risk management. Moreover, smart production systems, supported by sensors and the Internet of Things, enable greater integration of specialized services such as design, R&D and data analytics into global value chains. However, widespread automation and robotics may reinforce the trend of reshoring some production processes back to developed countries by reducing the need for long production chains based on cheap labor. AI-driven transformation could reshape countries' traditional comparative advantages by increasing trade in high technology and digital services. However, persistent inequalities in AI adoption capabilities and readiness levels may lead to a deepening ‘AI divide’ between large and small enterprises and economies at different levels of development. This study contributes to the literature by addressing the transformative role of AI in international trade from a holistic perspective with its economic and technological aspects. The results emphasize the importance of global cooperation and inclusive policies to maximize the benefits of AI-transformed value chains.