The 7th International Spring Conferences: AI Derivatives and Quantum Tehcnologies, İstanbul, Türkiye, 24 - 25 Mayıs 2025, (Yayınlanmadı)
While artificial
intelligence (AI) is seen as a transformative force in terms of productivity
and innovation, its macroeconomic effects at the international level remain
uncertain. In this context, this study aims to examine the effects of AI on
international trade and especially the transformation of global value chains
(GVCs) by focusing on economic and technological dimensions. Within the scope
of the study, the potential effects of AI on trade costs, value chain structure
and comparative advantage of countries are evaluated in the light of the
current literature. The main findings show that AI applications have reduced
costs related to trade logistics and customs procedures, thereby increasing
efficiency in global trade. These developments can facilitate access to
international markets for emerging economies and SMEs, expanding their
opportunities to participate in global value chains. AI-enabled tools make it
easier to manage complex production networks distributed on a global scale,
leading to significant improvements in areas such as demand forecasting and
risk management. Moreover, smart production systems, supported by sensors and
the Internet of Things, enable greater integration of specialized services such
as design, R&D and data analytics into global value chains. However,
widespread automation and robotics may reinforce the trend of reshoring some
production processes back to developed countries by reducing the need for long
production chains based on cheap labor. AI-driven transformation could reshape
countries' traditional comparative advantages by increasing trade in high
technology and digital services. However, persistent inequalities in AI
adoption capabilities and readiness levels may lead to a deepening ‘AI divide’
between large and small enterprises and economies at different levels of
development. This study contributes to the literature by addressing the
transformative role of AI in international trade from a holistic perspective
with its economic and technological aspects. The results emphasize the
importance of global cooperation and inclusive policies to maximize the
benefits of AI-transformed value chains.