Küresel Deniz Seviyesi Değişimlerinin Kıyı Havalimanları Üzerindeki Etkisine İlişkin Stratejik Analiz
20TH INTERNATIONAL STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE, Belgrade, Sırbistan, 11 - 13 Eylül 2025, ss.313-318, (Tam Metin Bildiri)
- Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
- Basıldığı Şehir: Belgrade
- Basıldığı Ülke: Sırbistan
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.313-318
- Açık Arşiv Koleksiyonu: AVESİS Açık Erişim Koleksiyonu
- İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
Global climate change poses serious threats to coastal infrastructures through secondary effects such as sea level rise, increased storm intensity, extreme weather events and ground subsidence. International airports located on the coast or in low altitude areas are vulnerable to the multidimensional effects of climate change, both physically and operationally. Since airports are strategically important as the locomotive of economic development and key to global connectivity, their climate-based vulnerabilities create knock-on effects from local to regional and global scales. This research aims to analyze the effects of sea level rise due to climate change on coastal airports. In the study, five strategic airports selected from Europe and Asia were examined in terms of their spatial and structural characteristics. In the analyses, the future threat levels of these airports were evaluated based on global climate scenarios such as RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The method of the study is based on the "Coastline Paradox" modeling, which takes into account the uncertainties in coastal measurement. This model, unlike classical coastal risk analyses, contributes to spatial planning and decision support processes by modeling uncertainty areas more precisely. In addition, SWOT analysis was conducted for each airport and historical vulnerabilities were compared with current projections through case events such as Typhoon Jebi. The study results reveal that many analyzed airports have become seriously vulnerable not only due to direct flooding but also due to indirect effects such as regional air traffic disruptions, infrastructure chain disruption and economic losses. In particular, airports with low elevations, prone to ground subsidence and high flood risk were determined to be in the medium-high risk group in projections until 2100. On the other hand, it was observed that some airports with advanced technology and supported by sustainable investments have the potential to demonstrate resilience. This study offers a holistic approach that evaluates the potential impacts of climate change on coastal airports in terms of governance, sustainability and operational continuity beyond physical damage. The findings are guiding for civil aviation authorities, urban planners, climate policy developers and infrastructure engineers. This study contributes to the literature by providing a strategic framework on how the aviation sector can be made more resilient to the climate crisis.